Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.864248 2.123862 2.406024 2.735410 3.109339 3.520633 4.007363
2025-10-05 1.544735 1.918973 2.361168 2.921973 3.614217 4.440818 5.503224
2025-10-12 1.306466 1.722992 2.244367 2.944472 3.859923 5.016501 6.589699
2025-10-19 1.170526 1.621392 2.213081 3.045707 4.187022 5.697025 7.848309
2025-10-26 1.026994 1.484857 2.111026 3.028892 4.339792 6.145147 8.822866
2025-11-02 0.914985 1.374805 2.027357 3.019574 4.489773 6.588533 9.815594
2025-11-09 0.809599 1.260194 1.921733 2.961966 4.556158 6.907954 10.645245
2025-11-16 0.744391 1.197156 1.883058 2.995577 4.754420 7.428944 11.810180
2025-11-23 0.689139 1.142742 1.850398 3.032024 4.955294 7.963879 13.034284
2025-11-30 0.630905 1.076961 1.792471 3.020514 5.075132 8.376417 14.091408
2025-12-07 0.571871 1.003561 1.714630 2.967446 5.119186 8.665748 14.964057
2025-12-14 0.520049 0.937064 1.641581 2.914299 5.155605 8.940668 15.828121
2025-12-21 0.468588 0.869678 1.566751 2.861736 5.206888 9.276223 16.884799
2025-12-28 0.459421 0.877836 1.625553 3.053340 5.710963 10.446953 19.541173
2026-01-04 0.426605 0.838422 1.594447 3.077010 5.910812 11.092350 21.301560
2026-01-11 0.408186 0.824045 1.607332 3.182743 6.271014 12.057642 23.741430
2026-01-18 0.376240 0.779699 1.558879 3.165180 6.392400 12.585052 25.389879
2026-01-25 0.348542 0.740810 1.516907 3.155446 6.526515 13.145454 27.149606
2026-02-01 0.318299 0.693429 1.453302 3.095275 6.552386 13.493635 28.511417
2026-02-08 0.300540 0.670449 1.436885 3.130381 6.775939 14.254104 30.783790
2026-02-15 0.284553 0.649587 1.422728 3.168451 7.008243 15.050366 33.199865
2026-02-22 0.265524 0.620001 1.387129 3.156428 7.131015 15.626612 35.193322
2026-03-01 0.244643 0.584059 1.334283 3.100998 7.152697 15.987590 36.745161